|Convective Outlook: Mon 16 Oct 2017|
|What do these risk levels mean?|
VALID 06:00 UTC Mon 16 Oct 2017 - 05:59 UTC Tue 17 Oct 2017
ISSUED 21:30 UTC Sun 15 Oct 2017br> br>
ISSUED BY: Dan
An elevated mixed layer (EML) will reside across much of Britain, for a time at least, on Monday, gradually clearing NE-wards to the North Sea. This airmass is characterised by very steep mid-level lapse rates (some of the highest typically seen in the British Isles, even compared with during the summer months) atop very warm and dry air just above the surface. Some mid-level instability is likely, capable of producing some sporadic elevated showers or thunderstorms with very high cloud bases. Given the dry air below, amounts of rain at the ground are expected to be quite small.