Convective Outlook: Mon 02 Apr 2018
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Mon 02 Apr 2018 - 05:59 UTC Tue 03 Apr 2018

ISSUED 21:20 UTC Sun 01 Apr 2018

ISSUED BY: Dan

On the forward side of the upper trough to the west of Ireland, strong warm advection will result in a frontal system pushing north across the British Isles, bringing rain and hill snow. Main interest will be in the post-frontal environment, as several shortwaves migrate northeastwards. 


The exact forecast evolution is not particularly clear-cut, with models handling the location of various features a little differently - in either case, instability is somewhat marginal until Tuesday morning when the main cold pool arrives, so despite the potential for some showers or showery bursts of rain, lightning will likely be quite sparse during this forecast period.