|Convective Outlook: Sat 14 Apr 2018|
|What do these risk levels mean?|
VALID 06:00 UTC Sat 14 Apr 2018 - 05:59 UTC Sun 15 Apr 2018
ISSUED 18:55 UTC Fri 13 Apr 2018br> br>
ISSUED BY: Dan
Diurnal heating and subtle low-level convergence may be sufficient to allow an isolated shower or two to develop during the late afternoon / evening hours on Saturday. Given marginal instability, dry forecast profiles and very little shear, any convection that manages to develop will likely struggle to grow in height, and so the lightning risk is considered very low (almost below our 5% threshold).