Convective Outlook: Tue 24 Jul 2018

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 24 Jul 2018 - 05:59 UTC Wed 25 Jul 2018

ISSUED 20:23 UTC Mon 23 Jul 2018

ISSUED BY: Dan

One or two isolated showers may develop on Tuesday afternoon / evening in response to diurnal heating, low-level convergence and orographic forcing. CAPE is somewhat limited, but reasonable speed shear may be enough to compensate - that said, hints of a warm nose at approximately 700mb may inhibit deep convection. Most areas will remain dry and lightning-free.