Convective Outlook: Sun 17 Feb 2019
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 17 Feb 2019 - 05:59 UTC Mon 18 Feb 2019

ISSUED 19:12 UTC Sat 16 Feb 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

A weakening cold front will move eastwards from Ireland to western Britain during Sunday. Behind the cold front, cold air aloft overspreads relatively warm seas, and diurnal heating inland, to generate a few hundred J/kg CAPE.

Scattered showers will develop in response, perhaps with a few sporadic lightning strikes. While instability will be somewhat limited, the strongly-sheared environment with slight backing of the low-level winds may allow some organisation of the strongest cells, perhaps even with some supercell-like characteristics - particular attention is given to W / NW Ireland.