Convective Outlook: Mon 04 Mar 2019

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Mon 04 Mar 2019 - 05:59 UTC Tue 05 Mar 2019

ISSUED 21:42 UTC Sun 03 Mar 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

Cold air aloft will spread across the British Isles on Monday, courtesy of a broad upper trough. This will lead to notably steep lapse rates, and a couple hundred J/kg CAPE in response to both SSTs and diurnal heating inland. A series of shortwaves will provide the focus for bands of showers to develop and drift eastwards with time, capable of producing some sporadic lightning and small hail.