|Convective Outlook: Sun 14 Apr 2019|
|What do these risk levels mean?|
VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 14 Apr 2019 - 05:59 UTC Mon 15 Apr 2019
ISSUED 12:33 UTC Sun 14 Apr 2019br> br>
ISSUED BY: Dan
Significant warm advection will occur over the Celtic Sea / southern Ireland during the early hours of Monday, on the forward side of the large Atlantic upper trough. This will increase the potential for lift and mid-level instability, with forecast profiles suggesting some weak elevated instability from approximately 800mb upwards. As a result, elevated convection is expected to occur late in the night over the Celtic Sea into southern Ireland, behind the main dynamic frontal precipitation. This will be capable of producing some heavy bursts of rain, but given somewhat weak instability and rather saturated profiles lightning may be rather isolated.