Remnants of embedded elevated convection may approach SW Ireland on Wednesday morning, but weakening with time. A shallow moist zone will evolve over Ireland during the afternoon / early evening, as a marked mid-level dry intrusion overspreads residual moist low-levels. Some reasonable shear will exist, and it seems plausible elements of line convection could develop and spread eastwards. Depth of convection will likely be too shallow for any lightning, the risk considered sub-5% and so no threat levels have been issued.

During the early hours of Thursday, scattered showers will begin to affect coastal parts of W / NW Ireland and W Scotland, as the Atlantic upper trough approaches from the west. A few isolated lightning strikes may be possible.