Convective Outlook: Wed 28 Aug 2019

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 28 Aug 2019 - 05:59 UTC Thu 29 Aug 2019

ISSUED 20:22 UTC Tue 27 Aug 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

Residual pockets of elevated instability across SE England, and more especially East Anglia, may produce a few isolated lightning strikes on Wednesday morning. Otherwise the main focus for any lightning will be over Ireland, and to a lesser extent western Scotland, as an upper trough and associated cold pool migrate across the area, generating a few hundred J/kg CAPE. Despite strong shear, marginal instability and limited convective depth suggests lightning will be rather isolated overall.