Convective Outlook: Tue 10 Sep 2019

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 10 Sep 2019 - 05:59 UTC Wed 11 Sep 2019

ISSUED 20:56 UTC Mon 09 Sep 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

A few isolated showers will affect primarily coastal parts of East Anglia and SE England on Tuesday morning, but not sufficiently deep for lightning. Otherwise, upper ridging will tend to dominate across the British Isles during the day, largely suppressing any deep convection. On Tuesday evening and night, an approaching Atlantic frontal system - the remnants of ex-Hurricane Dorian - will bring cloud and rain into Northern Ireland and western Scotland, with a low risk of embedded isolated lightning. The risk is greater, albeit still low, with post-frontal showers piling into W / NW Scotland and later in the night the Northern Isles.