Convective Outlook: Wed 11 Sep 2019
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 11 Sep 2019 - 05:59 UTC Thu 12 Sep 2019

ISSUED 19:01 UTC Tue 10 Sep 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

A split cold front will migrate southeastwards across England and Wales on Wednesday, with a shallow moist zone providing the focus for a line of heavy showers to develop around midday and through the afternoon, across the Midlands / Yorks / Lincs and into East Anglia / Home Counties. However, the depth of convection will be very shallow, and so lightning is considered unlikely (and hence no threat levels introduced).


Elsewhere, scattered showers will affect NW Scotland and the Northern Isles, but despite a strongly-sheared environment the depth of convection here will also be too shallow for much in the way of lightning - but the odd isolated strike cannot be ruled out.