Convective Outlook: Fri 11 Oct 2019
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Fri 11 Oct 2019 - 05:59 UTC Sat 12 Oct 2019

ISSUED 20:38 UTC Thu 10 Oct 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

A waving cold front will move slowly southeastwards across England and Wales on Friday, with elements of line convection at times on the cold front given the strongly-sheared environment. This may produce some strong gusts of wind and brief spells of heavy rain. However, given weak instability and fairly saturated profiles, lightning is considered a very low risk.


The post-frontal environment will be characterised by frequent showers affecting western Ireland and western Scotland, and occasionally extending further inland. These may be capable of small hail and isolated lightning strikes.