Convective Outlook: Fri 11 Oct 2019 |
|
What do these risk levels mean? |
Convective Outlook
VALID 06:00 UTC Fri 11 Oct 2019 - 05:59 UTC Sat 12 Oct 2019
ISSUED 20:38 UTC Thu 10 Oct 2019
br> br>ISSUED BY: Dan
A waving cold front will move slowly southeastwards across England and Wales on Friday, with elements of line convection at times on the cold front given the strongly-sheared environment. This may produce some strong gusts of wind and brief spells of heavy rain. However, given weak instability and fairly saturated profiles, lightning is considered a very low risk.
The post-frontal environment will be characterised by frequent showers affecting western Ireland and western Scotland, and occasionally extending further inland. These may be capable of small hail and isolated lightning strikes.