Convective Outlook: Sat 19 Oct 2019

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sat 19 Oct 2019 - 05:59 UTC Sun 20 Oct 2019

ISSUED 20:24 UTC Fri 18 Oct 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

An upper vortex will reside over the British Isles throughout Saturday, gradually filling and elongating in-situ with time. The resultant cold pool aloft atop relatively warm seas will lead to another day of scattered showers, albeit not as widespread / intense as previous days. However, given a few hundred J/kg, a few isolated lightning strikes will be possible, particularly over open waters of the Irish Sea and English Channel, and adjacent coasts (such as west Wales, Kent and Sussex etc). Some small hail and gusty winds will be possible from the most intense showers.