Convective Outlook: Sun 27 Oct 2019

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Sun 27 Oct 2019 - 05:59 UTC Mon 28 Oct 2019

ISSUED 20:49 UTC Sat 26 Oct 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

An upper trough will slide southeastwards across Scotland and the North Sea on Sunday morning, creating an environment with steep mid-level lapse rates and a few hundred J/kg CAPE. Scattered showers will affect many parts of Scotland, filtering also into NW England, with the potential for a few isolated lightning strikes - more especially during the morning / early afternoon, since instability and convective depth will gradually reduce thereafter.