Day 1 Convective Outlook: Fri 06 Dec 2019
LOW
SLGT
MDT
HIGH
SVR
What do these risk levels mean?
Day 1 Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Fri 06 Dec 2019 - 05:59 UTC Sat 07 Dec 2019

ISSUED 22:21 UTC Thu 05 Dec 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

The main interest on Friday will the passage of a pronounced shortwave sliding southeastwards across Ireland and into England and Wales. Some deep convection will be possible with this feature, forming linear segments capable of producing some strong gusts of winds. Despite rather weak CAPE, the strongly-sheared environment may be sufficient to compensate in allowing a few sporadic lightning strikes to occur. Greatest risk (albeit still fairly low) will likely be the Midlands and East Anglia.


This activity will clear to the North Sea by the evening hours, with the attention overnight shifting to Shetland where scattered showers could produce isolated lightning strikes.