Convective Outlook: Thu 30 Jan 2020

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Thu 30 Jan 2020 - 05:59 UTC Fri 31 Jan 2020

ISSUED 20:14 UTC Wed 29 Jan 2020

ISSUED BY: Dan

A sharpening minor shortwave will engage the frontal system affecting Scotland during Thursday morning. The resultant increase in instability traversing west to east may encourage a few sporadic lightning strikes to occur - more especially the Hebrides (if any does indeed occur). Elsewhere, a weakening pocket of showery rain will be approaching Isles of Scilly and SW England on Thursday morning, but the risk of any lightning is considered fairly low. Overnight, the next frontal system will cross Ireland, with weak elevated instability - but the risk of lightning with this feature is also considered very low.