Convective Outlook: Thu 06 Aug 2020

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Thu 06 Aug 2020 - 05:59 UTC Fri 07 Aug 2020

ISSUED 06:57 UTC Thu 06 Aug 2020

ISSUED BY: Dan

For most areas, subsidence aloft will generally restrict any deep convection during Thursday. However, on Thursday night the approaching Atlantic upper trough will advect an increasingly warm, moist low-level airmass across the Celtic Sea towards southern and western Ireland, ahead of the cold front. As profiles moisten and cool aloft, increasing mid-level instability will evolve and consequently there could be some elevated convection / showers developing across southern and western Ireland during the early hours of Friday. A few isolated lightning strikes may occur, although instability looks quite limited so have refrained from issuing a SLGT.