|Convective Outlook: Fri 07 Aug 2020|
|What do these risk levels mean?|
VALID 06:00 UTC Fri 07 Aug 2020 - 05:59 UTC Sat 08 Aug 2020
ISSUED 09:35 UTC Fri 07 Aug 2020br> br>
ISSUED BY: Dan
An upper trough will slowly advance from the Atlantic, drawing two plumes of high Theta-W northwards across the British Isles on Friday. One narrow tongue will exist ahead of a surface cold front that will migrate gradually eastwards across Ireland and western Scotland. Subtle impulses aloft could develop some elevated convection within this zone that may be capable of producing a few lightning strikes - however, model guidance varies over timing and placement for any such activity. Current thinking is most likely location for some sporadic lightning is E / NE Ireland mid-afternoon drifting towards SW Scotland.