|Convective Outlook: Tue 18 Aug 2020|
|What do these risk levels mean?|
VALID 06:00 UTC Tue 18 Aug 2020 - 05:59 UTC Wed 19 Aug 2020
ISSUED 06:13 UTC Tue 18 Aug 2020br> br>
ISSUED BY: Dan
An upper trough will continue to lift northwards across Scotland on Tuesday, the cold pool aloft atop moist low-level airmass (dewpoints in the mid-teens Celsius) yielding 300-700 J/kg CAPE across Scotland, and 200-500 J/kg CAPE across England, in response to diurnal heating. Scattered showers are likely to develop, primarily linked to orographic forcing in Scotland, and a couple of SW-NE convergence zones across England/Wales.