|Convective Outlook: Fri 30 Apr 2021|
|What do these risk levels mean?|
VALID 06:00 UTC Fri 30 Apr 2021 - 05:59 UTC Sat 01 May 2021
ISSUED 21:27 UTC Thu 29 Apr 2021br> br>
ISSUED BY: Dan
Broad upper troughing continues to cover much of northern and western Europe on Friday, with the cold pocket over Ireland on Thursday having migrated to England/Wales for Friday. Consequently a reversal of fortunes is expected, with a deeper convective layer in England/Wales and more capping in Ireland resulting in shallower convection here (relative to the previous day). Either way, showers will become more numerous through the day in response to diurnal heating and particularly focussed in areas where low-level convergence is maximised (i.e. just inland from the coast) and dewpoints remain mostly above 0C. This means there could be a relative minima in activity over parts of the Midlands down to the northern Home Counties, although even here a few showers may be possible.