A marked dry intrusion aloft will spread gradually northeastwards with time, although the exact shape/timing varies between model guidance and this may have some impact on highlighting specific areas with the best lightning potential. In theory, the leading edge of this dry intrusion holds the best potential, as ultimately the following substantial subsidence aloft will tend to restrict the depth of convection. Therefore a favourable overlap of low-level forced ascent and leading edge of dry intrusion will be key for identifying region(s) with potential for deepest convection / lightning potential. Either way, numerous showers are likely to develop, but only a few may produce some sporadic lightning. Given light winds, shear in the low-levels is relatively weak and so many showers will tend to be of pulse-type variety - however, if deep convection can grow tall enough to utilise the stronger mid-level flow, then these may be able to last longer and produce some hail. The very moist low-level environment (dewpoints of 14-15C) and associated low cloud bases suggests at least the potential for a few funnel clouds or weak tornado, especially near convergence boundaries. Showers may continue to develop well into the evening hours before a gradual decay overnight.