Convective Outlook: Wed 24 Nov 2021

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 24 Nov 2021 - 05:59 UTC Thu 25 Nov 2021

ISSUED 07:02 UTC Wed 24 Nov 2021

ISSUED BY: Dan

A disrupting upper trough on Wednesday will result in a cut-off low forming near the Bay of Biscay during the overnight hours, while the main trough axis continues to slide southeastwards down the North Sea. Cold air aloft atop relatively warm SSTs will aid the development of numerous showers over open seas, these then advecting inland due to steering winds largely from the north or northwest. As was the case on Sunday, convection will be rather shallow in depth and so for the most part the risk of lightning is considered very low - but the odd strike cannot be ruled out.