Convective Outlook: Wed 01 Dec 2021

LOW SLGT MDT HIGH SVR

What do these risk levels mean?

Convective Outlook

VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 01 Dec 2021 - 05:59 UTC Thu 02 Dec 2021

ISSUED 07:11 UTC Wed 01 Dec 2021

ISSUED BY: Dan

Upper trough axis will swing southwards across the UK/Ireland on Wednesday daytime, with a more substantial cold pool moving down the North Sea on Wednesday night. The net result is numerous showers spreading southeastwards, and so particularly focussed along coasts exposed to the northwesterly wind - but feeding well-inland through the Cheshire Plain into the Midlands, for example. Given the relatively shallow depth of convection, the risk of lightning is generally rather low (but non-zero) in most areas, perhaps greatest over/near Wales during Wednesday daytime, and the Northern Isles and North Sea on Wednesday evening/night.